TNF NFL DFS Team Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings – Chiefs vs Chargers

justin herbert NFL DFS fantasy football standings squad selection

Happy Thursday, RotoBallers! Week 15 is here! This season has gone by so quickly, but to be honest, I’ve had a lot of success as well as a lot of fun. We have a pretty cool contest tonight as the Captains (9-4) head to the City of Angels to compete with the Chargers (8-5). This is a battle that could put the AFC West qualifying race at a disadvantage regardless of the outcome, and it will be an interesting one. Thanks to today’s advanced analytics, I’ll do my best to give you as much in-depth analysis as possible on positional matches and the like to get you some money. lunch in the pocket.

In this article, I will give you Daily fantasy football selection on FanDuel and DraftKings for Thursday Night Football blocking vehicles on December 16. These lineups can vary from higher priced players and elite picks to lower priced players and price options. prevails over both DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @LucidMediaDFS and disqualify or subscribe RotoBaller NFL Premium Package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts any time you want. Grab some coins this season, and let’s get to it!

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DFS Captains / MVPs

Justin Herbert ($16,200 DK, $16,500 FD)

Key stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 3,822 passes, 30 touches, 11 interceptions.
  • Attack DVOA: 36.1% (3rd place)
  • Defensive Pass DVOA: 5.3% (15th)

While the Chiefs’ defence is doing well, I’m surprised that Herbert is the cheaper midfield in both positions here. I knew Mahomes was on the other side, but Herbert was absolutely late to tears. Herbert has thrown at least 300 yards and at least three touchdowns in three of his last four games and now gets a game against the Chiefs, with whom he throws 281 yards and four touchdowns in the week. Tuesday. The Chiefs’ defense has certainly improved since then, but with a penalty shootout looming in our hands tonight, it’s hard to think Herbert won’t put out some numbers.

Recommendation: Cash / GPP (DK / FD)

Best correlation: Keenan Allen, Patrick Mahomes

Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($10,500 DK, $9,500 FD)

Key stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 101 attempts, 458 yards, 5 touches, 18 goals, 16 hits, 107 yards, 5 touches.
  • 2021 data: 49.03% attempt rate, 35.71% red zone attempt rate, 20% in 5yd line rate, 6.79% target rate, 8 red zone target rate 82%, an end zone target.
  • Attacking DVOA: 2.6% (6th place)
  • Opponent Defense Rush DVOA: 3% (32nd)

While I fully expect both midfielders to come out and wear the armbands tonight, we also have to show some love for the backrunners here. I’ll have Ekeler here but I’m not sure he’ll play (I think he’ll play, but who knows). I also like CEH here. Statistically, when the incoming Chargers are the worst rushing defense in the league, chances are the Captains try to control the game using CEH on the ground. He ran 100 yards against them in week three, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he repeats that tonight. The only reason I don’t love him as an “optimal” play is because of his potential Darrel Williams and Derrick Gore take away, but I would gladly take that risk in GPPs.

Proposal: GPP (FD/DK)

Best correlation: Travis Kelce, Justin Herbert

Other Captains/MVPs Played: Patrick Mahomes, Keenan Allen

DFS Flex Plays

Patrick Mahomes ($12,000 DK, $17,000 FD)

Key stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 3,642 yards, 27 touchdowns, 12 interceptions.
  • Attacking DVOA: 26.9% (8th place)
  • Defensive Pass DVOA: 1.5% (9th place)

While I mentioned that Herbert should be the higher priced quarterback of the two, you can’t go into this medium without considering Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes hasn’t delivered the greatest fantasy production of the second half of this season, but he was back on Sunday with 258 yards and two points. He threw 260 yards and three touchdowns with the Chargers in his third week, and I think he threw 300+ tonight. In a split prime time game, you’ll want both sides of this QB match.

Recommendation: Cash / GPP (FD / DK)

Best correlation: Tireek Hill, Travis Kelce, Justin Herbert

Mike Williams ($7,400 DK, $11,500 FD)

Key stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 99 goals, 61 hits, 915 receptions, seven touches.
  • Data for 2021: Target rate 20.08%, red zone target rate 19.44%, bottom eight targets.
  • Individual Match (vs Mike Hughes): 18% target per route, 62% catch rate, 0.33 fantasy points per route.

Mike Williams was in a great position on Sunday and didn’t necessarily serve, which means he’s going to be absolutely insane against the Chiefs tonight. That’s just the way it works. I hope Williams can return to early-season form and catch seven 122-yard passes and two touchdowns like he did with the Chiefs in week three, but even if he doesn’t, he’s in a Favorable rates to fit in your squad (especially on FD), and have the advantage of being the top scorer in this game.

Proposal: GPP (DK), Cash / GPP (FD)

Best Correspondence: Justin Herbert, Patrick Mahomes

Other flexible plays: Austin Ekeler (if playing), Travis Kelce

DFS Play Value

Jared Cook ($5,400 DK, $7,500 FD)

Key stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 64 goals, 38 contacts, 408 receptions, 4 touches.
  • 2021 Data: 12.98% target rate, 15.28% red zone target rate, last nine zone targets
  • Individual head-to-head (vs Anthony Hitchens): 13% target per route, 79% catch rate, 0.29 fantasy points per route.

This is a great match for Cook, and while he’s a more dominant player on FD, I think he’s a good fit for DK. He has seen five goals in three of his last four games and has taken down two of his last three. He only caught two out of three targets against the Chiefs in the third week, but with a red zone target ratio of 15.28% and nine late zone targets, he is easy to hit for value if you look at him. see 4-5 targets.

Recommendation: Cash / GPP (FD / DK)

Best Correspondence: Justin Herbert, Patrick Mahomes

Harrison Butker ($4,000 DK, $9,000 FD)

I think the Chiefs are finally coming to terms with this, and I think Butker is going to play a big part in that. He has scored more than 50 yards in each of his last two games, scoring 13 and 14 fantasy points respectively in recent weeks. In a game where most offensive options come at a premium, we’ll need some value to even get out of our lineup. We’ll ride hot hands (legs?) in this one and go with Butker.

Recommendation: Cash / GPP (FD / DK)

Best Correspondence: Patrick Mahomes, Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Other transmit value: Mecole Hardman, Jalen Guyton

Overall Slate Note

This will be an exciting and exciting match between two highly capable criminals. I would probably split things up 50/50 in general for both crimes, with a QB + WR + WR/TE stack and a RB/WR/TE “rerun” on the DK, or a “rerun” of the QB on the DK. FanDuel. It’s going to be hard to cram guys in so I recommend using guys like Jalen Guyton, Byron Pringle, MeCole Hardman, and both initiators to fill the value gap you need. This must be doozy, good luck!

Have a nice Thursday everyone, see you soon!

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Another weekly DFS analysis TNF NFL DFS Team Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings – Chiefs vs Chargers

Britta Zeltmann

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