S&P 500 and Precious Metals Daily Analysis

S&P 500 modest risk on trend reversal discussed yesterday is underway – with proper bond support. That means the dollar will come under selling pressure daily, with positive implications for assets that include commonidities, precious metals and safe-guarded enabling technologies (looking towards TLT to cast a decisive vote for Nasdaq). unfolding it’s all ok, but what about the CPI effect? Probably to mitigate the oh so fast inflation issue, at least temporarily – and that would take the pressure off the Fed, which is being twisted by the markets. However, note how both the 2-year and 10-year government bonds have paused over the past few days. Coupled with negative quarterly GDP pressures arriving as expected, the temporary deceleration in the pace of inflation would find an ally in falling (especially long-term) Treasury yields, reflecting the darkening outlook for the real economy.

Time for a recovery rally in the S&P 500 with Tech and Value participation if only HYG can do a little better. The Bulls have a chance and can run with them as best they can. Cryptos are modestly leaning in the “local soil is in” direction so far (despite the tectonics). Tether Developments), leaving the chances for gains across the board (at the expense of the dollar) today – as long as markets interpret the upcoming CPI reading as a deceleration/slow top. Yes, since June 2020, when I first started talking about the early impact of inflation, last week was the first time I addressed the good likelihood of inflation hitting a local peak when the May/June CPI readings arrive, just to get back to it quickly Life on the “economy is slowing down, do something” changes the tone of the calls to the Fed.

Let’s put the right precious metals perspective in these trying times for real asset bulls, enjoy the rich caption:


In the second half of 2022, there will be a lot of upside risk with my Article from Monday Covering the game plan for the turnaround across the many assets I monitor daily. It is the dollar, yields and miners revived that would mark the bounce to come. Lean times until then.

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