According to a confidential UK report, the Russian army could collapse with more than 30,000 soldiers lost in Ukraine.
The document, authored by “a top UK analyst on Russia” and seen by The Mirror, says Vladimir Putin still believes he can achieve a “partial victory” despite Kremlin insiders trying to persuade him that the invasion was a disaster.
The despot is said to consider the loss of 30,350 soldiers a “worthwhile price” for a small victory in Ukraine.
However, those around him think his blood sacrifice might be a step too far.
Already, Russian failures have narrowed their focus from their original goal of toppling the democratically elected government of Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv with a pro-Moscow regime.
After being forced into a humiliating retreat from the capital, they have now focused on conquering the rest of the Donbass region to the east, part of which was already held by Russian-backed breakaway rebels.
Your latest mission is to conquer Sievierodonetsk – the last Ukrainian-occupied city in Luhansk.
However, this has been described as a suicide squad in the face of increasing reports of mutinies within the Russian army due to the poor conditions and the huge casualties among the troops.
The secret analysis, seen by The Mirror, says: “Russia’s attempt to secure a quick and decisive victory in Donbass has not yet been successful. You’re still grinding forward, gaining 1-2 km a day.
“The Russians are now achieving their successes mainly through a slugfest of repeated, very costly infantry attacks reminiscent of 1945, not 2022.
“Putin has managed to hide the gross failures of the election campaign from the Russian public quite well so far, or blame various officials who have been arrested and replaced.
“The Russian people bought into Putin’s disinformation until recently. We have seen an attempt within the Kremlin to send a message to Putin and his closest team that things are going wrong, maybe even catastrophically wrong.’
Despite the uneasiness in the Kremlin, Putin has become convinced that victory in embattled Donbass is now on the horizon and will give him enormous leverage in Kyiv, the report says – and failure would result in his ouster.
But British Russia commentator Bruce Jones said the Russian army could not take many more casualties.
Ukraine estimates that Russia has now lost 30,000 soldiers, 207 planes and 174 helicopters in the war.
According to British Defense Intelligence, the disastrous invasion has likely claimed “devastating” casualties among middle and junior officers, who are being moved forward to the front “because they have uncompromising responsibility for the performance of their units”.
“There has to be a point at which Russian forces can no longer take casualties, a cut-off point,” Jones said.
“This would be a straw that broke the camel’s moment where units could no longer function as a combat force because they are so exhausted.
“It’s happened before and on a small scale it’s happening now – so this could become a reality.”
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https://metro.co.uk/2022/05/31/russian-army-could-collapse-but-putin-sees-30000-losses-as-price-worth-paying-16739753/ Russian army could collapse, but Putin sees 30,000 casualties as 'a price worth paying'