Welcome to fantasy football knockouts! Congratulations to everyone who made it to the grand prom!
In this weekly column, we’ll be looking at up arrow players and down arrow players based on last week’s games. We will try not to overreact, but instead, use relevant data to make informed decisions about these players.
Here are the main risks and losers heading into Week 15 of the NFL season.
Editor’s Note: Our incredible team of writers received 11 award nominations, leading in the industry, by Fantasy Sports Writers Association including Football Writer of the Year, Baseball Writer of the Year, Best Ongoing Soccer Series and much more! Be sure to follow their analysis, leaderboards and advice throughout the year, and win big with RotoBaller!
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lion
ARSB has arrived! The rookie now has 12 goals in head-to-head games and leads all Lions players in running routes (37) in Week 14. St. Brown has averaged 90% of tackles in his last four games. The Lions had two favorable matches for the wide receivers in Weeks 15 and 16 against the Cardinals and Falcons. Both of these games are also in the house, which is never a problem as you go deep into December. ARSB is square on the WR3 radar in the PPR tournaments in the first round of the knockout stages and has can be further away.
Gabriel Davis, Buffalo Bills
Emmanuel Sanders had to leave the Bills’ early Week 14 game against the Buccaneers with a leg injury and he is not expected to play in Week 15. As a result, Gabriel Davis sees himself as one of those at risk. Biggest this week. With Sanders on the field for most of the game against the Bucs, Davis hit a season-high 83 percent catch rate, catching five of eight goals in 43 yards and one touchdown. His previous-season high was just 52% in Week 10. In that game against the Jets, Davis made three 105 yards catch. The Bills run a lot of 3WR sets, meaning Davis is a good fit for a full-time role in Week 15 against the Panthers. Now we just have to hope and pray Josh Allen, dealing with a mild case of big toe, let’s get started.
Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns
Kareem Hunt had to leave the Browns’ early game Week 14 after sustaining an ankle injury. Now it looks a lot like the Nick Chubb show in Week 15, with some D’Ernest Johnson sprinkled here and there. Chubb has a 77.3% chance of RB after Hunt leaves the match against Raven. But what makes Chubb so appealing now is the fact that he’s running more routes out of the backyard than ever before. With Hunt for most of the game, Chubb made 19 peak routes during the season and played a season-best 66% of catches. He caught the top three balls of the season on four goals and he has now been targeted four times in consecutive games. The Browns get the Raiders in Week 15, who have the seventh-fastest dash yards per game this season (125.3). This week, Nick Chubb will appear.
Melvin Gordon III, Dancer broncos
After missing Week 13 with hip and shoulder injuries, Gordon returned to his 1A role in the Denver backyard in Week 14. He played with a higher snap rate (50%) than the rookie. Javonte Williams (49%) and led the group in rushing efforts with 24. Gordon finished the day with 111 quick yards and two points. As long as he’s healthy, it’s likely he’ll see the majority of rush efforts. Williams should continue to run more routes, as he did last week (14 vs 8), but Gordon will continue to be the preferred pick in the red zone. In fact, he had a huge advantage over Williams in his attempts to dive into the red zone with 10 at Week 14 leaving just 2 for rookies.
Javonte Williams, Dancer broncos
After playing with the highest 81% snaps of the season and getting an 86.5% chance of RB in Week 13, Javonte Williams‘quick share (49%) and chance share RB (43.5%) both decreased in Week 14 with Melvin Gordonback to the squad. He still went for 73 yards and a touch of the ball, but they played the Lions. Some good games lie ahead, but as long as Gordon is healthy, Williams will no longer be a “set and forget” RB1.
Chuba Hubbard, Carolina Panthers
Hubbard “started” at Week 14 against the Falcons, but played only 39% of the plays. He rushes 10 times with 33 yards and one goal. The clash saved his day for all the imaginary managers who introduced him out there last week, but with the Panthers following most of those games, it’s Ameer Abdullah who played over 59% of snapshots. Abdullah ran 23 routes to Hubbard’s 8. With some tough games coming up against the Bills, Buccaneers and Saints, it looks like we’ll see more of Ameer Abdullah and less Chuba Hubbard in negative game scenario. Abdullah may just be the preferred choice in future PPR formats.
Ricky the Seal-Jones, Washington football team
Remember when RSJ took over Logan Thomas early season and play 100% snaps and basically used as a wide receiver? Well, that didn’t happen at Week 14. In fact, John Bates ran more routes (27 vs 17) and played on a higher % snaps (71% vs 46%) than Seals-Jones. The soccer team has two very favorable matches to end up close with the Eagles in the fantasy football knockout, but it looks like RSJ is currently having a eye-opening game against rookies outside of Boise State. Therefore, it seems that we cannot take advantage of these favorable matches, unfortunately.
Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons
Please cover your ears. The Pitts played a low 54% off-season and ran just 21 routes in Week 14 against Carolina. Hayden Hurst back after weeks of absence and playing 62% of the time, running 12 routes of his own. Since his burst in Week 7, the Pitts have averaged just 3.3 hits for 42.7 yards per game. He’s only scored one goal this season and that’s all the way back in Week 5. None Calvin Ridley, the defense has planned to prevent Kyle Pitts and it worked. Worse still, he faced a very tough 49ers defense in San Francisco in Week 15.
Win Big with RotoBaller
Be sure to also check out all our other daily fantasy football article and analysis to help you outline those winning teams, including this new RotoBaller video on YouTube:
https://www.rotoballer.com/fantasy-football-risers-and-fallers-week-15-4/974998 Risers and Fallers fantasy football for Week 15