NHL Daily Betting Guide: December 17

Getting a little skin in the game can make watching hockey on the NHL more enjoyable.

Throughout the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will make you an improved bettor with this betting model and betting tool.

Every day we will review each game, Sports Odds (via PointsBet)and each team’s win rate is based on the model generated by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly determine which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.

You can quickly determine which team has the best bet by following this simple table:


All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit bets.

I will also provide some analysis of the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out major injury news, squad changes and start of backup goalkeepers.

The number to keep an eye on is the “Difference”. is the percentage difference between the model’s % Expected Win and the % Expected Win based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds convert to percentages, use Odds calculator.


Model’s choice

Recommended bets

St. Louis Blues (vs DAL)

Models put us in a similar position on Tuesday, recommending The Blues in Dallas. That bet worked out as the Blues won 4-1, so why not hit the wells tonight with the Blues back at home. The Stars will return Roope Hintz and Alexander Radulov, but will not feature Miro Heiskanen. St. Louis will stick with Charlie Lindgren in the grid and he has been nothing short of spectacular in four starts. The 27-year-old is 4-0-0 with 1.29 GAA and 0.956 SV% and looks like the 2021 version of Jordan Binnington in 2019.

1 unit bet: STL -103

Proceed with caution

Nashville Predators (@ CHI)

The short-armed predators were great last night but that’s up against an equally succinct Colorado team. There’s a lot to be said for this team that will travel to Chicago and win with their reserve keeper tonight.

Choose a game

Penguin -1.5 vs Buffalo (-121)

Penguins are red hot right now and Saber is far from it.

Buffalo has lost Monday night in back-to-back games all five times it’s fallen into that run this season.

The Penguins have had two days off since their last match and they have won each of the last three times where they have had at least two days off between matches. They are also on a 5-match winning streak.

Select Suggestions

Sidney Crosby 1.5 points above BUF (+145)

Dive into this match and believe that Crosby has a lot to do with the Penguin attack tonight. He has been very productive at the end of the year with 15 points in his last 20 games.

Give me plus odds on what happened in four of the last five games? I will take it.

REC: 61-38-3 (+16.7 units) NHL Daily Betting Guide: December 17

Britta Zeltmann

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