Falling behind after going 3-1 down? Not common, but blues have done it before

DENVER — The St. Louis Blues are on the verge of being eliminated before Game 5 on Wednesday. The Blues are 3-1 behind the Colorado Avalanche in the series as the second round returns to Denver.

A 3-1 deficit in a playoff series might not look encouraging. History shows that it may not be impossible to overcome, but it doesn’t happen often.

Corresponding Ice Hockey ReferenceSince the NHL was founded in 1917, there have been more than 300 series scenarios with 3-1 leads. Only 30 teams, roughly 10 percent, have overcome such deficits to advance to another playoff round.

The St. Louis Blues have been on the bright side of history twice, both from series in the 1990s. The Blues came from a 3-1 series deficit to defeat the Detroit Red Wings in the 1991 Norris Division Semifinals and the Phoenix Coyotes in the 1999 Western Conference Quarterfinals. In either case, the Blues did not advance past the next round of the playoffs.

Meanwhile, the Colorado Avalanche has a mixed history when it comes to holding 3-1 leads in the playoffs. The Avalanche won the series by such a margin, 2-2, but haven’t dealt with such a scenario in nearly two decades. Colorado led 3-1 in the 1998 and 2003 Western Conference Quarterfinals. Between those seasons, 2001 and 2002 respectively, they lost a 3-1 lead in the playoff series before winning Game 7 against the Los Angeles Kings.

In the latter scenario mentioned with the Avalanche, that was two of 32 times that an NHL team managed to force a Game 7 while facing a 3-1 deficit in the series, only to subsequently lose the losing the last game of the series. With more than 300 3-1 series leads in NHL history, the odds of that happening based on history are also about 10 percent.

While the odds are certainly tough for the Blues to overcome, the NHL is notorious for making more 3-1 comebacks than they do NBA and MLB. This has only happened 13 and 14 times in these leagues respectively.

Recent hockey history may also look more encouraging for the Blues’ fortunes. At least one team has advanced after falling 3-1 in a series in three of the last four playoff campaigns, including the New York Rangers in the first round of this year’s playoffs.

The St. Louis Blues need to win three games in a row to break a 3-1 lead. The task may seem daunting, but don’t rule it out just yet. The second-round series with the Colorado Avalanche resumes Wednesday, with the puck drop scheduled for 7 p.m. on TNT.

https://fox2now.com/sports/st-louis-blues/coming-behind-from-a-3-1-deficit-not-common-but-blues-have-done-it-before/ Falling behind after going 3-1 down? Not common, but blues have done it before

Nate Jones

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