Bucks vs. Celtics Prediction, Odds, Line: 2022 NBA Playoff Picks, Game 5 Best Bets from Model on 86-58 Run

The Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics face off in a crucial Game 5 match Wednesday night in the Eastern Conference Semifinals of the 2022 NBA Playoffs. Milwaukee stole home field advantage with a Game 1 win in Boston, with the Celtics returning the favor away in Game 4 on Monday. That leaves the series tied at 2-2 and the action shifts back to TD Garden in Boston. Khris Middleton (knee) stays out for the Bucks. Robert Williams (knee) is listed as a doubt for the Celtics after missing Game 4.

Tipp-off is at 7:00 p.m. ET in Boston. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Celtics as a 5.5-point home favorite while the over-under, or total points Vegas believes will be scored, is 214.5 in the latest Bucks vs. Celtics odds. Before hitting Bucks vs. Celtics tips, you need to check out SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model for NBA predictions and betting recommendations.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated well over $10,000 in profits for $100 players with its top-tier NBA picks for the last 3+ seasons. The model enters the fourth full week of the 2022 NBA Playoffs with a stunning 86-58 throw on all top NBA picks and nets over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Celtics and just laid out its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Now here are some NBA odds and betting lines for Bucks vs. Celtics:

  • Spread between Bucks and Celtics: Celtics -5.5
  • Bucks vs. Celtics Over-Under: 214.5 points
  • Bucks vs. Celtics money line: Celtics -230, Bucks +190
  • MIL: The Bucks are 4-5 against the spread in playoff games
  • BOS: The Celtics are 6-2 against the spread in the playoff games

Featured Game | Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee’s offense is productive and the team’s defense is playing fantastic basketball in the playoffs. The Bucks ranked in the top five in the NBA for offensive efficiency during the regular season, averaging more than 1.14 points per possession. Milwaukee is strong from three-point range and makes 36.6 percent of attempts from beyond the arc, and the Bucks finished in the top ten in two-point accuracy (54.4 percent) and free throw creation (22, 9 attempts per game). The Bucks also handled the ball well during the regular season, averaging 13.4 turnovers per game, and Milwaukee only has a 12.9 percent turnover rate in the series.

On defense, the Bucks lead the entire NBA playoffs with a 99.4 defensive rating. Milwaukee also leads the postseason in field goal percentage allowed (41.0 percent) and free throw attempts allowed (17.9 per game), with a sky-high defensive rebound rate of 80.2 percent. Boston is shooting just 41.8 percent from field in the series, and the Bucks are only 32.6 percent three-point shooting in the entire playoffs.

Why the Celtics can mark

Boston’s defense is often at the center of the frame, but it was offense that propelled the Celtics to a crucial Game 4 victory. The Celtics scored 43 points in Monday’s fourth quarter, converting 16 of 19 field goal attempts, 4 of 5 three-point attempts and all seven free throw attempts. Boston averaged nearly 1.9 points per possession during that period, and the Celtics have been heavily offensively above average this season. The Celtics have a 57.8 percent true shot mark and a 28.3 percent offensive rebound rate in the playoffs, both of which are excellent. Boston is also No. 2 in the NBA playoffs as it assists 65.6 percent of field goals, and the Celtics convert 82.8 percent of free throw attempts.

Coming from the regular season, the Celtics averaged 113.6 points per 100 possessions and shot 54.7 percent from two-point range. Boston also ranked second in free-throw accuracy and firmly in the top ten in three-pointers per game (13.2). With Jayson Tatum enjoying a bounce back performance in Game 4 and Al Horford averaging 18.8 points and 11.3 rebounds per game in the series, the Celtics should be in a strong position on offense.

How to make Bucks vs Celtics tips

SportsLine’s model leans towards totals, with 11 players expected to score in double digits. The model also says that one side of the variance applies in over 50 percent of the simulations. You can see Celtics vs Bucks Game 5 model selection only at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread applies in over 50 percent of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bucks vs. Celtics spread you need to jump to on Wednesday, all from the model who smashed his NBA picks and find out. Bucks vs. Celtics Prediction, Odds, Line: 2022 NBA Playoff Picks, Game 5 Best Bets from Model on 86-58 Run

Justin Scacco

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