The Miami Heat are one win away from the Eastern Conference Finals and will be aiming for that win on Thursday. The Heat blasted the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 5 of a second-round series in the 2022 NBA Playoffs on Tuesday, taking a 3-2 lead in the series. Philadelphia is hosting Game 6, and the Sixers will look to maintain a perfect home record in the series while avoiding elimination. Joel Embiid (face, thumb) and Matisse Thybulle (foot) are listed as questionable at the 76ers. Kyle Lowry (hamstring) is out for the Heat, with Tyler Herro (ankle), Caleb Martin (ankle), Max Strus (hamstring), PJ Tucker (calf) and Gabe Vincent (knee) listed as questionable.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Philadelphia as the two-point home favorite for that pick at 7:00 p.m. ET. The total points Vegas believes will be scored, or the over-under, is 207 in the latest Heat vs. 76ers odds. Before making a selection for Heat vs. 76ers, you must review SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model for NBA predictions and betting recommendations.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated well over $10,000 in profits for $100 players with its top-tier NBA picks for the last 3+ seasons. The model enters the fourth full week of the 2022 NBA Playoffs with a stunning 86-58 throw on all top NBA picks and nets over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Sixers and just laid out its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Now here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Sixers vs. Heat:
- Heat vs 76ers spread: 76ers -2
- Heat vs. 76ers Over-Under: 207 points
- Heat vs. 76ers Moneyline: 76ers -135, Heat +115
- MIA: The Heat has played 6-4 against the spread for the last 10 games
- PHL: The 76ers are 6-5 against the spread in playoff games
Featured Game | Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat
Why the heat can cover
Miami’s defense messed up the Atlanta Hawks in the first round, and the Heat prevailed over the 76ers this round. As a result, The Heat rank in the top two in defensive standings of the 2022 NBA Playoffs, but Miami isn’t a one-way team as their offense is also stellar. The Heat averaged 1.27 points per possession in Game 5 and generated 26 assists against just 11 turnovers with 54 percent shot. In the series, Miami averages 15.5 second-chance points and just 12.8 turnovers per game, and Miami overall secures nearly 31 percent of available rebounds in the postseason.
Miami led the NBA in the regular season with 37.9 percent in 3-point accuracy, and the Heat ranked in the top quadrant of the league in 3-points-per-game (13.6), free-throw accuracy (80.8 percent) and assists (25.5 per game) and assist percentage (64.4 percent). Miami takes a balanced approach, but the Heat also have a real star in Jimmy Butler. The veteran forward is averaging 28.3 points per game on 53.8 percent shooting in the playoffs, and Butler is also an excellent defender, coming along with 7.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game.
Why the 76s can cover
The Sixers have a strong offense and a lot of star power. Philadelphia won both home games in that series after Embiid’s return, and the All-NBA center led the league with 30.6 points per game in 2021-22. He’s flanked by two prolific guards in James Harden and Tyrese Maxey, both of whom are averaging more than 19 points per game in the playoffs. As a team, the 76ers posted 113.5 points per 100 possessions in the postseason, a stellar number by any measure. Philadelphia boasts a 60.1 percent true shooting mark in the playoffs, with 47.1 percent shooting from the field and 37.7 percent shooting from 3-point range.
The 76ers also lead the NBA playoffs in fast break points (15.5 per game), with outstanding records at the free throw line with 24.1 attempts per game and an accuracy clip of 84.9 percent. During the regular season, Philadelphia also ranked in the top four in the NBA for turnover avoidance, committing just 12.5 giveaways per game, and no team committed fewer live ball turnovers (6.6 per game) than the 76ers .
How to make Heat vs. 76ers picks
SportsLine’s model leans towards totals, with seven players expected to score at least 18 points. The model also says that one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s 76ers vs. Heat Game 6 pick at SportsLine.
Who Will Win Heat vs 76ers? And which side of the spread applies well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. 76ers spread to jump to on Thursday, all from the model who smashed his NBA picks and find out.
https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/76ers-vs-heat-prediction-odds-line-spread-2022-nba-playoff-picks-game-6-best-bets-by-model-on-86-58-run/ 76ers vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Line, Spread: 2022 NBA Playoff Picks, Game 6 Best Bets by Model on 86-58 Run