2022 Kentucky Derby odds, betting strategy, cheat sheet: surprising tips from experts who have attended prep races

A handful of celebrity coaches will look to break through at Churchill Downs on Saturday at the 2022 Kentucky Derby. Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen, the all-time winning leader among North American coaches, has only one chance to break his 0v23 streak. However, it is one of the most respected 2022 Kentucky Derby horses in the field, Epicenter. Four-time Eclipse Award winner Chad Brown and Lexington native Ken McPeek are both 0-6, and McPeek has two chances with Smile Happy and Tiz the Bomb. Brown saddles just one horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby field, but it’s the favorite Zandon, who is 3-1 in Churchill Downs linesmaker Mike Battaglia’s 2022 Kentucky Derby odds. Postal time for the 2022 Kentucky Derby is 6:57 p.m. ET. With a talented field of 20 horses expected to enter the starting gate, before making your selection for the 2022 Kentucky Derby, be sure to see what race insider and Beyer Speed ​​Figure maker Bob Weir has to say.

A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and maker of Beyer Speed ​​Figures, Weir has twice qualified for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. He’s produced several five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Last year he was hooked. He hit the exacta in the Sam F. Davis Stakes, Tampa Bay Derby, and Peter Pan Stakes, the trifecta in the Risen Star Stakes, Blue Grass Stakes, and the Pennsylvania Derby, and the superfecta in the Belmont Stakes.

That year he was red hot in the 2022 Kentucky Derby prep races, hitting the Superfecta in the Blue Grass Stakes, the Trifecta in the Louisiana Derby, and the Exacta in the Fountain of Youth Stakes and Tampa Bay Derby. He has also hit the trifecta in the Pegasus World Cup and several pick 4s, among others. Now he’s hampered the 2022 Kentucky Derby field, hitting his picks and constructing his bets. Click here to see them.

The experts’ top picks for the 2022 Kentucky Derby

One surprise: Weir puts Zandon in the shade despite being the 3-1 Kentucky Derby favorite. The stallion raced just four times as a three-year-old and won his first specialweight at Belmont in October before finishing second in the Remsen Stakes and a distant third in the Risen Star. In the last race in February, Epicenter led wire to wire and won by almost three lengths. Zandon’s inexperience could be an issue in a race where 20 horses fighting for placement could upset his plans.

Another threat to Zandon’s approach could be the fast start Weir expected. The colt has become known for his ability to finish off the pace and a quick start would force him to work harder to keep up with the pack. The Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland was going at a pretty comfortable pace, but the 2022 Kentucky Derby could be a whole different kind of race. Jockey Flavien Prat, who has won three races in 27 career starts at Churchill Downs, will face heavy traffic.

Another curveball: Weir is high on UAE derby winner Crown Pride despite being a 20-1 long shot. Trained by Koichi Shintani, this Japanese rider made his first two starts in Japan, winning twice at 1 1/8 miles. After finishing sixth in his first start in 2022, he bounced back in the UAE Derby with a 2 3/4 win over Summer Is Tomorrow, also in the 2022 Kentucky Derby field.

On Wednesday, Crown Pride ended a month of preparation with an effortless work for the half-mile in 46.67 seconds, including a final quarter-mile time of 22.29 seconds, indicating he’s successful in qualifying for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. “I expect his best performance on Saturday,” Weir told SportsLine. Weir will be using Crown Pride prominently in his bets on the 2022 Kentucky Derby.

How to make 2022 Kentucky Derby predictions, bets

Weir moves all in with a massive double-digit long shot that should be “in a dangerous position at the top of the range” and has a “great opportunity at a potentially great price.” Weir includes this horse in his 2022 Kentucky Derby bets, and you should too. He’s just sharing his cheat sheet and tips for the 2022 Kentucky Derby here.

Who will win the 2022 Kentucky Derby? And what massive two-digit long shot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2022 Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Weir’s Kentucky Derby picks, all from the expert who met this year’s prep races.

2022 Kentucky Derby Odds, Competitors, Horses, Post Positions 2022 Kentucky Derby odds, betting strategy, cheat sheet: surprising tips from experts who have attended prep races

Justin Scacco

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